What to trade around Australia GDP Growth Rate QoQ news event

Based on the last 12 GDP Growth Rate QoQ events in Australia, we expect GBPUSD to trend downwards right now. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect GBPUSD to trend downwards for the next 4 hours because the released value is > 0.5%. A price movement of 14 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

02 Jun 11:30
02 Dec 11:30
04 Mar 11:30
05 Sep 11:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).