What to trade around Australia GDP Growth Rate QoQ news event

Based on the last 12 GDP Growth Rate QoQ events in Australia, we expect NZDUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect NZDUSD to trend downwards 12 hours following the event release at 01 Dec 11:30 if the released value is < -2.7%. A price movement of 20 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

02 Sep 11:30
04 Dec 11:30
06 Mar 11:30
05 Dec 11:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).