What to trade around Australia Unemployment Rate news event

Based on the last 12 Unemployment Rate events in Australia, we expect USDCAD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect USDCAD to trend upwards 48 hours following the event release at 14 Oct 11:30 if the released value is < 4.8%. A price movement of 171 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

16 Sep 11:30
19 Aug 11:30
15 Jul 11:30
17 Jun 11:30
15 Apr 11:30
18 Mar 11:30
21 Jan 11:30
17 Dec 11:30
15 Oct 11:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).