What to trade around Australia Unemployment Rate news event

Based on the last 12 Unemployment Rate events in Australia, we expect NZDUSD to trend downwards right now. Based on these past events there is a 72.73% chance of this. We expect NZDUSD to trend downwards for the next 2 hours because the released value is < 5%. A price movement of 17 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

14 Oct 11:30
16 Sep 11:30
19 Aug 11:30
15 Jul 11:30
17 Jun 11:30
15 Apr 11:30
18 Mar 11:30
18 Feb 11:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).