What to trade around Australia Westpac Consumer Confidence Index news event

Based on the last 12 Westpac Consumer Confidence Index events in Australia, we expect USDCAD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 71.43% chance of this. We expect USDCAD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 08 Feb 23:30 if the released value is < 102. A price movement of 12 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

18 Jan 23:30
14 Dec 23:30
13 Oct 00:30
11 Aug 00:30
09 Jun 00:30