What to trade around Australia Westpac Consumer Confidence Index news event

Based on the last 12 Westpac Consumer Confidence Index events in Australia, we could expect USDCAD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect USDCAD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 15 Jun 10:30 if the released value is < 90. A price movement of 16 pips could result. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

11 May 10:30
09 Mar 10:30
19 Jan 10:30
15 Dec 10:30
13 Oct 11:30
09 Jun 10:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).