What to trade around Canada BoC Interest Rate Decision news event

Based on the last 12 BoC Interest Rate Decision events in Canada, we expect AUDUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 72.73% chance of this. We expect AUDUSD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 20 Jan 15:00 if the released value is = 0.25%. A price movement of 41 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

28 Oct 14:00
09 Sep 14:00
03 Jun 14:00
15 Apr 14:00
04 Dec 15:00
30 Oct 14:00
04 Sep 14:00
10 Jul 14:00