What to trade around Canada BoC Interest Rate Decision news event

Based on the last 12 BoC Interest Rate Decision events in Canada, we expect NZDUSD to trend upwards right now. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect NZDUSD to trend upwards for the next 4 hours because the released value is = 0.25%. A price movement of 35 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

09 Sep 00:00
22 Apr 00:00
11 Mar 02:00
21 Jan 02:00
29 Oct 01:00
10 Sep 00:00
04 Jun 00:00
16 Apr 00:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).