What to trade around Canada BoC Interest Rate Decision news event

Based on the last 12 BoC Interest Rate Decision events in Canada, we expect RTY to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect RTY to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 02 Mar 15:00 if the released value is = 0.5%. A price movement of 3,114 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

26 Jan 15:00
27 Oct 14:00
08 Sep 14:00
14 Jul 14:00
09 Jun 14:00
20 Jan 15:00
09 Dec 15:00
09 Sep 14:00