What to trade around Canada GDP Growth Rate QoQ news event

Based on the last 12 GDP Growth Rate QoQ events in Canada, we expect EURUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect EURUSD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 28 Feb 13:30 if the released value is < 0.1%. A price movement of 22 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

31 May 12:30
01 Mar 13:30
02 Mar 13:30