What to trade around Canada GDP Growth Rate QoQ news event

Based on the last 12 GDP Growth Rate QoQ events in Canada, we expect AUDUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 85.71% chance of this. We expect AUDUSD to trend upwards 12 hours following the event release at 31 Aug 22:30 if the released value is > 0.6%. A price movement of 52 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

03 Mar 00:30
28 Aug 22:30
29 May 22:30
30 Nov 00:30
30 Aug 22:30
01 Dec 00:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).