What to trade around Canada Inflation Rate YoY news event

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY events in Canada, we expect USDCHF to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect USDCHF to trend upwards 48 hours following the event release at 19 Nov 00:30 if the released value is < 0.4%. A price movement of 59 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

16 Sep 22:30
19 Aug 22:30
17 Jun 22:30
20 May 22:30
22 Apr 22:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).