What to trade around Canada Ivey PMI s.a news event

Based on the last 12 Ivey PMI s.a events in Canada, we expect GBPUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect GBPUSD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 04 Jun 14:00 if the released value is < 65. A price movement of 54 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

07 May 14:00
07 Dec 15:00
07 Oct 14:00
04 Sep 14:00