What to trade around Canada Ivey PMI s.a news event

Based on the last 12 Ivey PMI s.a events in Canada, we expect AUDUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect AUDUSD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 07 Jan 15:00 if the released value is < 61. A price movement of 39 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

04 Jun 14:00
07 May 14:00
07 Jan 15:00
07 Dec 15:00