What to trade around Euro Area ECB Interest Rate Decision news event

We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards for the next 2 hours. Based on these past Euro Area ECB Interest Rate Decision news events there is a 81.82% chance of this. We expect this to happen because the released value is = 1.25%. A price movement of 35 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

09 Jun 11:45
14 Apr 11:45
10 Mar 12:45
16 Dec 12:45
28 Oct 11:45
09 Sep 11:45
22 Jul 11:45
22 Apr 11:45
11 Mar 12:45