What to trade around Euro Area Industrial Production YoY news event

Based on the last 12 Industrial Production YoY events in Euro Area, we expect USDCAD to trend downwards right now. Based on these past events there is a 83.33% chance of this. We expect USDCAD to trend downwards for the next 2 hours because the released value is < 10.4%. A price movement of 25 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

14 Jul 19:00
12 May 19:00
15 Feb 21:00
12 Nov 21:00
12 Aug 19:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).