What to trade around Euro Area Industrial Production YoY news event

Based on the last 12 Industrial Production YoY events in Euro Area, we expect NZDUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 83.33% chance of this. We expect NZDUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 12 Nov 10:00 if the released value is > 4.1%. A price movement of 13 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

13 Oct 09:00
15 Sep 09:00
12 Mar 10:00
13 Jan 10:00
14 Dec 10:00