What to trade around Euro Area Unemployment Rate news event

Based on the last 12 Unemployment Rate events in Euro Area, we expect AUDUSD to trend downwards right now. Based on these past events there is a 83.33% chance of this. We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards for the next 12 hours because the released value is < 8%. A price movement of 57 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

30 Apr 19:00
04 Mar 21:00
08 Jan 21:00
01 Sep 19:00
02 Jul 19:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).