What to trade around Euro Area Unemployment Rate news event

Based on the last 12 Unemployment Rate events in Euro Area, we expect USDCAD to trend upwards right now. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect USDCAD to trend upwards for the next 2 hours because the released value is = 7.4%. A price movement of 22 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

30 Sep 09:00
01 Sep 09:00
01 Feb 10:00
02 Dec 10:00