What to trade around Euro Area Unemployment Rate news event

Based on the last 12 Unemployment Rate events in Euro Area, we could expect USDCAD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect USDCAD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 03 May 09:00 if the released value is = 6.7%. A price movement of 15 pips could result.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

10 Jan 10:00
02 Dec 10:00
30 Sep 09:00
01 Sep 09:00