What to trade around France Unemployment Rate news event

Based on the last 12 Unemployment Rate events in France, we expect USDCHF to trend downwards right now. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect USDCHF to trend downwards for the next 2 hours because the released value is > 7.8%. A price movement of 23 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

10 Nov 17:30
14 Nov 17:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).