What to trade around Germany Inflation Rate YoY Prel news event

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY Prel events in Germany, we expect USDCHF to trend upwards right now. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect USDCHF to trend upwards for the next 48 hours because the released value is > 1.4%. A price movement of 69 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

30 Jul 22:00
27 Jun 22:00
01 Mar 00:00