What to trade around Germany Inflation Rate YoY Prel news event

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY Prel events in Germany, we expect USDCAD to trend downwards right now. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect USDCAD to trend downwards for the next 2 hours because the released value is > 0.6%. A price movement of 35 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

29 Apr 12:00
03 Jan 13:00
27 Jun 12:00