What to trade around Germany Unemployment Rate news event

Based on the last 12 Unemployment Rate events in Germany, we expect USDCHF to trend upwards right now. Based on these past events there is a 81.82% chance of this. We expect USDCHF to trend upwards for the next 4 hours because the released value is = 5%. A price movement of 42 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

03 Jan 19:55
29 Nov 19:55
30 Oct 19:55
30 Sep 17:55
29 Aug 17:55
31 Jul 17:55
30 Apr 17:55
29 Mar 19:55

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).