What to trade around Germany Unemployment Rate news event

Based on the last 12 Unemployment Rate events in Germany, we expect GBPUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect GBPUSD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 02 Mar 08:55 if the released value is < 5.1%. A price movement of 28 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

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