What to trade around Germany Unemployment Rate news event

Based on the last 12 Unemployment Rate events in Germany, we could expect AUDUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect AUDUSD to trend upwards 12 hours following the event release at 31 May 17:55 if the released value is = 5%. A price movement of 29 pips could result.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

31 Mar 18:55
30 Nov 19:55
28 Oct 18:55
01 Jun 17:55

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).