What to trade around Germany Unemployment Rate news event

Based on the last 12 Unemployment Rate events in Germany, we expect USDCAD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 72.73% chance of this. We expect USDCAD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 30 Jan 08:55 if the released value is = 5%. A price movement of 15 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

03 Jan 08:55
29 Nov 08:55
30 Sep 07:55
31 Jul 07:55
01 Jul 07:55
29 Mar 08:55
01 Mar 08:55
31 Jan 08:55