What to trade around Germany Unemployment Rate news event

Based on the last 12 Unemployment Rate events in Germany, we expect USDCHF to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 71.43% chance of this. We expect USDCHF to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 01 Sep 07:55 if the released value is = 6.4%. A price movement of 14 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

30 Jan 08:55
03 Jan 08:55
29 Nov 08:55
30 Oct 08:55
30 Sep 07:55
29 Aug 07:55