What to trade around Germany Unemployment Rate news event

Based on the last 12 Unemployment Rate events in Germany, we expect USDCAD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect USDCAD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 29 Oct 19:55 if the released value is < 6.3%. A price movement of 41 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

30 Jul 17:55
01 Jul 17:55
31 Mar 18:55

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).