What to trade around Germany ZEW Economic Sentiment Index news event

Based on the last 12 ZEW Economic Sentiment Index events in Germany, we expect AUDUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 85.71% chance of this. We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 16 Jun 19:00 if the released value is > 60. A price movement of 15 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

19 May 19:00
21 Apr 19:00
10 Dec 21:00
12 Nov 21:00
15 Oct 20:00
17 Sep 19:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).