What to trade around Italy GDP Growth Rate QoQ Adv news event

Based on the last 12 GDP Growth Rate QoQ Adv events in Italy, we expect USDCHF to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 83.33% chance of this. We expect USDCHF to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 02 Feb 09:00 if the released value is > -2.2%. A price movement of 10 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

30 Oct 09:00
31 Jul 08:00
30 Apr 10:00
31 Oct 11:00
31 Jul 10:00