What to trade around Japan Consumer Confidence news event

Based on the last 12 Consumer Confidence events in Japan, we could expect USDCHF to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 83.33% chance of this. We expect USDCHF to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 31 May 05:00 if the released value is < 33.5. A price movement of 10 pips could result. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

08 Apr 05:00
03 Mar 05:00
05 Jan 05:00
02 Dec 05:00
31 Aug 05:00