What to trade around Japan Consumer Confidence news event

We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards for the next 2 hours. Based on these past Japan Consumer Confidence news events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect this to happen because the released value is > 31. A price movement of 9 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

31 May 05:00
29 Oct 05:00
01 Oct 05:00