What to trade around Japan Consumer Confidence news event

Based on the last 12 Consumer Confidence events in Japan, we expect AUDUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 01 Jul 05:00 if the released value is > 30. A price movement of 6 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

29 Nov 05:00
31 Oct 05:00