What to trade around Japan GDP Growth Rate QoQ Prel news event

Based on the last 12 GDP Growth Rate QoQ Prel events in Japan, we expect AUDUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect AUDUSD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 14 Nov 23:50 if the released value is > -0.2%. A price movement of 14 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

14 Feb 23:50
15 Nov 23:50
17 May 23:50
19 May 23:50