Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY events in Japan, we expect SB to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect SB to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 23 Dec 23:30 if the released value is < 0.4%. A price movement of 15 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

23 Sep 23:30

20 May 23:30

22 Apr 23:30

21 Jan 23:30