What to trade around Japan Inflation Rate YoY news event

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY events in Japan, we expect USDCAD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect USDCAD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 17 Jun 23:30 if the released value is > -0.3%. A price movement of 15 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

18 Feb 23:30
17 Sep 23:30