What to trade around Japan Tankan Large Manufacturers Index news event

Based on the last 12 Tankan Large Manufacturers Index events in Japan, we expect RTY to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 83.33% chance of this. We expect RTY to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 12 Dec 23:50 if the released value is < 19. A price movement of 765 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

30 Jun 23:50
30 Sep 23:50
30 Jun 23:50
12 Dec 23:50
31 Mar 23:50