Based on the last 12 Unemployment Rate events in Japan, we could expect AUDUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 71.43% chance of this. We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 31 May 09:30 if the released value is < 2.6%. A price movement of 33 pips could result. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

29 Mar 10:30	01 Feb 10:30
30 Nov 10:30	31 Aug 09:30
30 Jul 09:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).