Based on the last 12 Unemployment Rate events in Japan, we expect AUDUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect AUDUSD to trend upwards 12 hours following the event release at 25 Dec 10:30 if the released value is < 3.1%. A price movement of 29 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

30 Oct 10:30	01 Sep 09:30
29 May 09:30	27 Dec 10:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).