What to trade around Japan Unemployment Rate news event

Based on the last 12 Unemployment Rate events in Japan, we expect USDCHF to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect USDCHF to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 27 May 23:30 if the released value is < 2.7%. A price movement of 9 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

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24 Dec 23:30
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30 Jul 23:30
28 May 23:30