Based on the last 12 Unemployment Rate events in Japan, we expect EURUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect EURUSD to trend downwards 48 hours following the event release at 29 Jun 09:30 if the released value is < 2.9%. A price movement of 108 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

30 Apr 09:30	30 Mar 10:30
29 Jan 10:30	30 Oct 10:30
01 Sep 09:30	31 Jul 09:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).