What to trade around New Zealand Interest Rate Decision news event

Based on the last 12 Interest Rate Decision events in New Zealand, we expect AUDUSD to trend upwards right now. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect AUDUSD to trend upwards for the next 2 hours because the released value is = 0.25%. A price movement of 11 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

12 Feb 12:00
26 Jun 12:00
08 May 12:00
13 Feb 12:00
27 Sep 07:00
09 Aug 07:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).