What to trade around New Zealand Interest Rate Decision news event

Based on the last 12 Interest Rate Decision events in New Zealand, we expect GBPUSD to trend upwards right now. Based on these past events there is a 70% chance of this. We expect GBPUSD to trend upwards for the next 4 hours because the released value is = 0.75%. A price movement of 24 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

14 Jul 12:00
26 May 12:00
14 Apr 12:00
24 Feb 12:00
11 Nov 12:00
12 Aug 12:00
13 May 12:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).