What to trade around Switzerland Consumer Confidence news event

Based on the last 12 Consumer Confidence events in Switzerland, we expect USDCHF to trend upwards right now. Based on these past events there is a 85.71% chance of this. We expect USDCHF to trend upwards for the next 12 hours because the released value is < -8. A price movement of 40 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

15 Apr 19:30
05 Feb 17:45
04 Nov 17:45
02 Aug 15:45
02 May 15:45
02 Nov 17:45

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).