What to trade around Switzerland Consumer Confidence news event

Based on the last 12 Consumer Confidence events in Switzerland, we could expect AUDUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 02 May 07:00 if the released value is < -6.4. A price movement of 22 pips could result. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

01 Feb 08:00
04 Nov 08:00
04 May 07:00
15 Apr 09:30
04 Nov 06:45
03 May 05:45