What to trade around Switzerland GDP Growth Rate QoQ news event

Based on the last 12 GDP Growth Rate QoQ events in Switzerland, we expect NZDUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect NZDUSD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 02 Sep 17:00 if the released value is > 2%. A price movement of 16 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

01 Dec 17:45
27 Aug 15:45
03 Mar 17:45
28 Nov 17:45
05 Sep 15:45
06 Sep 15:45

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).