What to trade around Switzerland KOF Leading Indicators news event

Based on the last 12 KOF Leading Indicators events in Switzerland, we expect GBPUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect GBPUSD to trend upwards 12 hours following the event release at 30 Jun 17:00 if the released value is < 77. A price movement of 24 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

29 Nov 19:00
30 Sep 17:00
28 Jun 17:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).