What to trade around Switzerland KOF Leading Indicators news event

Based on the last 12 KOF Leading Indicators events in Switzerland, we expect AUDUSD to trend upwards right now. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect AUDUSD to trend upwards for the next 4 hours because the released value is < 125. A price movement of 17 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

30 Jul 17:00
29 Jan 19:00
30 Oct 19:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).