What to trade around Switzerland KOF Leading Indicators news event

Based on the last 12 KOF Leading Indicators events in Switzerland, we expect USDCHF to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect USDCHF to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 30 Nov 19:00 if the released value is < 109. A price movement of 38 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

30 Aug 17:00
30 Jun 17:00
29 Jan 19:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).